Live
•OFFICIAL: Referendum scheduled for Monday, October 19, 2026. Advance voting runs October 13–17, 2026.•Civic sample: Question 10 now leads 56% for beginning the legal separation process vs. 44% remain.•Sovereignty watch: equalization, federal energy rules, and immigration levels remain the core case for a binding follow-on vote.•Stay Free Alberta organizers say hundreds of thousands of signatures proved demand for a separation question on October 19.•Constitutional legal note: Question 10 authorizes negotiations toward a future binding vote — it does not grant immediate independence.•Treaty First Nations: Treaties 6, 7, and 8 remain entrenched with the Crown and cannot be unilaterally altered by provincial referendum.
Five clocks•Mountain Time

Alberta Referendum 2026

Ten questions covering immigration control, program eligibility, provincial superior courts, the Senate, federal transfers, and Question 10 on Alberta’s constitutional future.

Special ballot deadline

Sept. 25 · last day to apply

—Days
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Advance voting

Oct. 13–17 · 9 a.m.–8 p.m.

—Days
—Hrs
—Min
—Sec

Referendum day

Oct. 19 · polls 9 a.m.–8 p.m.

—Days
—Hrs
—Min
—Sec

Unofficial Question 10 count

Early Oct. 20 · expected from 6 a.m.

—Days
—Hrs
—Min
—Sec

Official results

Oct. 29

—Days
—Hrs
—Min
—Sec

Times are Mountain Time. Advance hours follow the same 9 a.m.–8 p.m. window as referendum day. The unofficial Question 10 count is set for 6:00 a.m. on Oct. 20.

Total Questions10 Ballot Items
Simulated Pre-Votes16,420
Ballot Format9 Yes/No + 1 Choice
Constitutional ScopeConsultative Mandate

Independent civic education — not an official Elections Alberta ballot

Election day · Monday, October 19

Live tracking

Polls run 9:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m. Mountain. You vote only at your assigned location. Question totals are not published until every poll is confirmed closed, then Question 10 is counted first. This section links the official portals. It does not invent a result, and a poll is not a count.

Participation, official

43.1%

1,356,873 advance and special ballots, of 3,148,343 eligible electors.

Advance837,791
Special ballots519,082

1,791,470 eligible electors are not in that advance total. That is not a prediction of today’s turnout.

Same point in 2023: 809,988 advance and special ballots, 27.5% of 2,939,762. The 2023 special-ballot figure (51,351) is not comparable. Source: Elections Alberta, Oct 18.

Compliance alerts

  • Registration rumour. Aug 14: Chief Electoral Officer Gordon McClure said no one has been removed from the List of Electors without consent, and Voterlink cannot delete a registration.
  • Spoof site. July 9: electionsab.ca is not Elections Alberta. It serves fake names. The real site is elections.ab.ca.
  • Wainwright. Both election-day locations open 9:00 a.m.–8:00 p.m.: Communiplex and Legion Branch 29.
  • Phones may not be used to record or photograph inside a voting place. Do not bring an unused special-ballot package. Referendum advertising is not allowed on voting-location property.

Federal open-data files are national turnout tables, not today’s Alberta count. The referendum results page still holds the 2021 equalization and daylight-saving votes only. October 19 totals will be added there after the official results on October 29. Unofficial counting, when it starts, is at results.elections.ab.ca.

Live · ballots cast, not choices

Province and municipalities

Polls are closed. Question totals are still not published here.

Unofficial Question 10 count expected early Oct 20

Last public participation update: Oct 18, 2026 official turnout release; results feed rechecked election morning. Question totals are still not published. This page asks the official results site every minute and will say when the Oct 19 referendum appears there. It will not copy another election’s numbers, and it will not estimate a winner. The thin gold marks are this hub’s sample only.

Checking the official results site… results.elections.ab.ca

Alberta · already cast

1,356,873

Advance plus special ballots. 43.1% of 3,148,343 eligible electors. Not a yes count.

Advance, Oct 13–17837,791
Special ballots519,082
Not yet recorded1,791,470

Earlier daily reports, days 1–4 only

Day 1
174,532
Day 2
186,742
Day 3
168,230
Day 4
174,320

Official release: Elections Alberta, Oct 18

Official preliminary release, Oct 18, 2026: 837,791 advance ballots (Oct 13–17) and 519,082 special ballots, 1,356,873 in total, 43.1% of 3,148,343 eligible electors. The earlier four-day daily figures below are not this total. Saturday was not published as its own day.

Elections Alberta, “Referendum advance voting and special ballot voter turnout,” Oct 18, 2026. The 2023 special-ballot total is not comparable: those ballots were not offered to every eligible elector and did not have to arrive by mail.

Elections Alberta, Oct 17: high winds closed or shortened several advance polls. Two Hills Recreation Centre closed at 2:20 p.m., with voters sent to Vegreville. Barrhead and Warburg stayed open until 10 p.m. Ballot boxes were secured and staff stayed in place. No ballots were reported lost.

Ten questions · official choice

  • Q1 Immigration AuthorityNot published

    Hub sample only · 63.5% on the yes or process side

  • Q2 Program Eligibility RestrictionsNot published

    Hub sample only · 68.1% on the yes or process side

  • Q3 12-Month Residency RequirementNot published

    Hub sample only · 59.4% on the yes or process side

  • Q4 Temporary Resident User FeesNot published

    Hub sample only · 54.1% on the yes or process side

  • Q5 Citizenship Proof to VoteNot published

    Hub sample only · 78.3% on the yes or process side

  • Q6 Provincial Superior Court JudgesNot published

    Hub sample only · 57.3% on the yes or process side

  • Q7 Abolishing Canada's SenateNot published

    Hub sample only · 67.1% on the yes or process side

  • Q8 Keep Federal Funding While Opting OutNot published

    Hub sample only · 75.5% on the yes or process side

  • Q9 Provincial Law Taking PriorityNot published

    Hub sample only · 59% on the yes or process side

  • Q10 Confederation FutureNot published

    Hub sample only · 56% on the yes or process side

459 municipalities

Polling places on the Elections Alberta list. Vote splits are blank on purpose.

Municipalities and whether official question results are published
MunicipalityPolling placesQ1–Q10 official result
Calgary334Not published
Edmonton265Not published
Lethbridge35Not published
Red Deer34Not published
Sherwood Park28Not published
Airdrie21Not published
Grande Prairie18Not published
Medicine Hat17Not published
St. Albert16Not published
Red Deer County12Not published
Parkland County11Not published
Fort McMurray11Not published
Okotoks11Not published
Cochrane8Not published
Spruce Grove8Not published
Fort Saskatchewan7Not published
Rocky View County6Not published
Chestermere6Not published
Leduc6Not published
Canmore5Not published
Camrose5Not published
Leduc County5Not published
Foothills County5Not published
Sylvan Lake5Not published
Ardrossan4Not published
Innisfail4Not published
Beaumont4Not published
Wetaskiwin4Not published
Edson4Not published
Athabasca County3Not published
Morley3Not published
Blood No. 1483Not published
Strathmore3Not published
Drumheller3Not published
County Of Grande Prairie No. 13Not published
Sturgeon County3Not published
Blackfalds3Not published
Lacombe3Not published
Fort Macleod3Not published
High River3Not published

Showing 40 of 459. Calgary and Edmonton lead the place list because they have more polls, not because a result is in.

Integrity telemetry

SWEEP 1

17:59:39 MT · choice totals are not published

CAST 1,356,873SHARE 43.1%SPLIT SEALED

No aggregate decision

The 10 questions are not one yes/no. Elections Alberta has not released a choice. A bar that moved on its own would be a fake count.

50% line is a reference, not a result

50%
CHOICE TOTALS SEALED
Advance 837,791Special 519,082Not yet recorded 1,791,470

Cyan is advance ballots. Amber is special ballots. Both are participation, of 3,148,343 eligible electors. Not yes and no.

Ten ballot questions

NOT A COUNT
  • Q1Immigration Authority
    SEALED
  • Q2Program Eligibility Restrictions
    SEALED
  • Q312-Month Residency Requirement
    SEALED
  • Q4Temporary Resident User Fees
    SEALED
  • Q5Citizenship Proof to Vote
    SEALED
  • Q6Provincial Superior Court Judges
    SEALED
  • Q7Abolishing Canada's Senate
    SEALED
  • Q8Keep Federal Funding While Opting Out
    SEALED
  • Q9Provincial Law Taking Priority
    SEALED
  • Q10Confederation Future
    SEALED

Places, not leads

Calgary

334 polls

No vote lead

Edmonton

265 polls

No vote lead

Lethbridge

35 polls

No vote lead

Red Deer

34 polls

No vote lead

Sherwood Park

28 polls

No vote lead

Airdrie

21 polls

No vote lead

Grande Prairie

18 polls

No vote lead

Medicine Hat

17 polls

No vote lead

Ingestion stream

No ballots-per-second feed

Elections Alberta does not publish a live tabulator speed. A scrolling line of invented ballots per second would look like a count. It is left off.

Benford check

Not run

First-digit tests need real division totals. None are published. A chart fitted to random noise would be a false audit, so it is not drawn.

Check log

  • D01not-published

    Checked the morning of Oct 18. The official results site does not yet list the Oct 19 referendum. Yes/no totals are not published. Nothing is filled in with zero.

  • D02ordinary

    The four published advance days sit in a narrow band. A steady turnout day is not a defect. Oct 17 is not in the update.

  • D03not-published

    Cast, valid, and rejected ballots are not published by question. The check does not run.

  • D04not-published

    No official result file is stored here, so no duplicate row can be compared.

  • D05documented

    Elections Alberta said the Athabasca poll closed briefly on Oct 14 for a power outage and stayed open until 10 p.m. That is a documented accommodation, not a fraud finding.

  • D06waiting

    This site does not hold the List of Electors. A turnout figure is not an eligibility finding.

  • D07ordinary

    A large special-ballot volume was reported before advance polls finished. Volume alone is not an irregularity.

  • D08waiting

    No recount has been announced. A recount cannot be compared with a count that is not published.

  • D09not-published

    Candidate or yes/no shares by division are not published. Robust z is not computed.

  • D10ordinary

    CTV, Oct 16: each of the first three advance days beat the 2023 election’s 152,000 daily average. Higher participation is not a defect.

  • D11not-published

    Rejection rates are not published. No division is marked an outlier.

  • D12not-published

    Polling places are listed. Vote shares by municipality are not. No map of results is drawn.

  • D13documented

    Elections Alberta, Oct 17: high winds affected advance polls including Two Hills, Barrhead, Smokey Lake, Killam, Warburg, Nisku, Sherwood Park, and Wetaskiwin. Boxes were secured and staff stayed. That is a documented interruption, not a fraud finding. Friday’s 19 late polls were lines, which is ordinary.

  • D14waiting

    The dates above are publication dates of news reports, not an official results-file audit trail.

  • D15waiting

    No public enforcement decision is on this board. A blank is not a hidden finding.

A status light is not a finding of fraud. There is no digital seal, no chi-square score, and no synced-tabulator claim on this page, because Elections Alberta has not published one.

AB

Fraud desk

NO FINDING

Referendum Act · 10 questions · a graphic is not a fraud verdict

ALREADY CAST 1,356,873SPEED NO FEED

Participation, not a provincial majority

43.1% of eligible electors have already voted. That is left of half the roll. It is not a yes margin.

Already cast

1,356,873

HALF THE ROLL

43.1% CAST

0% of the roll50% of eligible electors100% of the roll

10 questions

CHOICES SEALED
  • Q1Immigration Authority

    Should Alberta seek greater control over immigration to align levels with economic needs, housing capacity, infrastructure, and priority for Alberta workers?

    SEALED
  • Q2Program Eligibility Restrictions

    Should eligibility for provincially funded programs (healthcare, education, and social services) be strictly limited to Canadian citizens, Permanent Residents, and Alberta-approved statuses?

    SEALED
  • Q312-Month Residency Requirement

    Should individuals with non-permanent legal status be required to reside in Alberta for 12 months before accessing provincially funded social-support programs?

    SEALED
  • Q4Temporary Resident User Fees

    Should Alberta be authorized to charge a reasonable fee or premium to temporary-status residents for use of publicly funded healthcare and education?

    SEALED
  • Q5Citizenship Proof to Vote

    Should electors in Alberta provincial elections be required to present documentary proof of Canadian citizenship (passport, birth certificate, citizenship card) to vote?

    SEALED
  • Q6Provincial Superior Court Judges

    Should Alberta pursue constitutional changes allowing the provincial government to select and appoint judges for superior courts (Court of King’s Bench & Court of Appeal)?

    SEALED
  • Q7Abolishing Canada's Senate

    Should Alberta work with other willing provinces toward a constitutional amendment to completely abolish the appointed Senate of Canada?

    SEALED
  • Q8Keep Federal Funding While Opting Out

    Should Alberta be entitled to opt out of federal programs (health care, education, social services) while retaining Alberta's full per-capita share of federal funding?

    SEALED
  • Q9Provincial Law Taking Priority

    Should Alberta pursue constitutional amendments giving provincial law priority over conflicting federal law in areas of provincial or shared jurisdiction?

    SEALED
  • Q10Confederation Future

    What direction should Alberta take regarding its constitutional future with Canada?

    SEALED

Places on the list

Calgary

334 polls

No lead published

Edmonton

265 polls

No lead published

Lethbridge

35 polls

No lead published

Red Deer

34 polls

No lead published

Sherwood Park

28 polls

No lead published

Airdrie

21 polls

No lead published

Grande Prairie

18 polls

No lead published

Medicine Hat

17 polls

No lead published

Advance days 1–4

PUBLISHED

Reported daily totals only. Saturday is inside the 837,791 advance total and was not published as its own day.

Benford shape

NOT AN AUDIT

White bars are the textbook first-digit curve. There is no observed series, because division totals are not published.

Official log

  • EA-1014POWER

    Athabasca advance poll closed briefly for a power cut, then stayed open until 10 p.m. Boxes stayed with staff.

  • EA-1016QUEUE

    Nineteen locations stayed open past 8 p.m. on Friday because people were still in line. That is ordinary.

  • EA-1017WIND

    Saturday wind closed Two Hills at 2:20 p.m. Voters were sent to Vegreville. Barrhead and Warburg stayed open until 10 p.m. Boxes were secured.

  • EA-1018SITE

    Both Wainwright election-day locations open 9:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.: Communiplex and Legion Branch 29.

  • EA-0709SPOOF

    electionsab.ca is not Elections Alberta. It serves fake names. The real site is elections.ab.ca.

  • EA-0814LIST

    Voterlink cannot delete a registration. No one was removed from the list without consent.

  • EA-1019COUNT

    The official results site does not list the Oct 19 referendum yet. No yes or no total exists to test.

After the clocks

Canadian Election Integrity Observatory

Federal elections and Alberta elections are kept apart. A statistical flag is not proof of fraud, and this site is not Elections Canada or Elections Alberta. Official results stay on the official sites. The lab currently holds 19 synthetic anomalies so the detectors can be checked in public.

Overview of the ballot

Three Distinct Institutional Choices

The 10 questions are divided into three themes. Support for one theme does not require support for another.

Q 1–5

Immigration & Program Eligibility

Provincial immigration quotas, restricting public program access, 12-month waiting periods for welfare, user fees for temporary residents, and citizenship verification for voters.

5 Yes/No Questions
Q 6–9

Autonomy Within Canada

Rebalancing power inside Confederation: appointing provincial superior judges, pursuing Senate abolition, opting out of federal programs with 100% cash funding, and Alberta law priority.

4 Yes/No Questions
Q 10

Future Status with Confederation

Remain a province of Canada OR direct the Alberta government to launch the formal legal/constitutional process toward a future binding vote on separation.

1 Discrete Choice Question

Six desks

Daily agents

Six agents refresh a different part of this hub every morning, Mountain Time. Filed 2026-10-10. They do not replace Elections Alberta, and they do not publish an official count.

6:30 a.m. MT

ClockDates

Daily

Special-ballot applications closed September 25. Advance voting opens October 13. Referendum day is October 19, 9 a.m. to 8 p.m. Mountain.

Special ballot, advance polls, referendum day, unofficial count, official results

Updated 2026-10-10

7:00 a.m. MT

LawThe 10 questions

Daily

All 10 questions are consultative. A Yes on Question 10 starts negotiations. It is not independence, and Treaties 6, 7, and 8 stay with the Crown.

Questions 1–10, paramountcy, the 7/50 formula, Senate unanimity, Treaties 6, 7, and 8

Updated 2026-10-10

7:30 a.m. MT

FloorSample results

Daily

The 56% begin-separation figure is this hub’s sample, not an Elections Alberta count. Official Question 10 numbers are not expected before early October 20.

Pre-vote tally, the 56% process graphic, final-results placeholder, live audience

Updated 2026-10-10

8:00 a.m. MT

WireNews and reels

Daily

No official count exists yet. The process argument is still equalization, pipes, and the pace of intake. Advance polls are October 13–17.

Live news, 8 p.m. and 11 p.m. editions, reel captions

Updated 2026-10-10

8:30 a.m. MT

LedgerEconomy

Daily

The United States still takes about 85% of Alberta goods exports. Alberta’s 2026–27 equalization receipt remains $0. Those are briefing figures, not a new release today.

Exports, equalization, federal balance, temporary-resident costs, separation invoice

Updated 2026-10-10

9:00 a.m. MT

PollVoters

Daily

Check the list only at voterlink.ab.ca. You must be a Canadian citizen, 18 or older, and resident in Alberta. Voting if you are not an elector is a corrupt practice.

Registration, ID, polling places, the count, non-citizen penalties, Monday email list

Updated 2026-10-10

Interactive pre-voting

Cast Your Preliminary Ballot

Pre-vote on all 10 questions to update the community analytical model instantly.

Question 1

Should Alberta seek greater control over immigration to align levels with economic needs, housing capacity, infrastructure, and priority for Alberta workers?

Question 2

Should eligibility for provincially funded programs (healthcare, education, and social services) be strictly limited to Canadian citizens, Permanent Residents, and Alberta-approved statuses?

Question 3

Should individuals with non-permanent legal status be required to reside in Alberta for 12 months before accessing provincially funded social-support programs?

Question 4

Should Alberta be authorized to charge a reasonable fee or premium to temporary-status residents for use of publicly funded healthcare and education?

Question 5

Should electors in Alberta provincial elections be required to present documentary proof of Canadian citizenship (passport, birth certificate, citizenship card) to vote?

Question 6

Should Alberta pursue constitutional changes allowing the provincial government to select and appoint judges for superior courts (Court of King’s Bench & Court of Appeal)?

Question 7

Should Alberta work with other willing provinces toward a constitutional amendment to completely abolish the appointed Senate of Canada?

Question 8

Should Alberta be entitled to opt out of federal programs (health care, education, social services) while retaining Alberta's full per-capita share of federal funding?

Question 9

Should Alberta pursue constitutional amendments giving provincial law priority over conflicting federal law in areas of provincial or shared jurisdiction?

Question 10 · Primary ChoiceConfederation Status

What direction should Alberta take regarding its constitutional future with Canada?

Directing the government to begin the separation process does not immediately make Alberta an independent country. Under the Supreme Court's Quebec Secession Reference, it initiates multilateral negotiations and constitutional procedures toward a future binding vote.

Anonymous sample pre-vote · 0/10 answered

Aggregated data

Pre-Vote Results Dashboard

Sample projections update immediately when you cast a preliminary vote.

Sample synchronized · 16,420 ballots
Question 10 SpotlightTotal: 16,420

Begin separation process · 56%

The central referendum ballot choice.

Remain44%
Separation process56%
Autonomy & Federal Powers

Judges, Senate, Opt-Out, Laws

% support for restructuring federal-provincial power balance.

Highest cross-party support recorded on federal funding opt-out (Q8).

Immigration & Eligibility

Access Rules & Voter ID

% in favour of residency thresholds and citizenship checks.

Mandatory citizenship proof for voting (Q5) holds the widest majority.

Q1

Immigration Authority

Yes 63.5% (10,420) · No 36.5% (6,000)

Q2

Program Eligibility Restrictions

Yes 68.1% (11,180) · No 31.9% (5,240)

Q3

12-Month Residency Requirement

Yes 59.4% (9,750) · No 40.6% (6,670)

Q4

Temporary Resident User Fees

Yes 54.1% (8,890) · No 45.9% (7,530)

Q5

Citizenship Proof to Vote

Yes 78.3% (12,850) · No 21.7% (3,570)

Q6

Provincial Superior Court Judges

Yes 57.3% (9,410) · No 42.7% (7,010)

Q7

Abolishing Canada's Senate

Yes 67.1% (11,020) · No 32.9% (5,400)

Q8

Keep Federal Funding While Opting Out

Yes 75.5% (12,400) · No 24.5% (4,020)

Q9

Provincial Law Taking Priority

Yes 59% (9,680) · No 41.0% (6,740)

Q10

Remain vs. Separation Process

Remain 44% · Process 56%

Official dossier

The 10 Questions Explained

Review the arguments, legal impacts, and constitutional realities behind every ballot item.

Question 1Yes / No

Greater Alberta Control Over Immigration

Seeks an asymmetric agreement with Ottawa to set provincial immigration levels aligned with labour needs, infrastructure, and housing capacity.

Potential benefit: Matches newcomers directly to job vacancies and relieves municipal public service strain.
Constitutional reality: Immigration is shared under Sec. 95 with federal paramountcy. A Yes requires bilateral federal-provincial negotiations.
Question 2Yes / No

Limiting Who Qualifies for Provincial Programs

Allows Alberta to limit publicly funded healthcare, education, and social services strictly to Canadian citizens, Permanent Residents, and provincially approved visa holders.

Potential benefit: Controls provincial expenditures and targets resources toward permanent taxpaying residents.
Constitutional reality: Subsequent legislation must be drafted and may face review under the Canada Health Act and Charter Section 7/15.
Question 3Yes / No

12-Month Residency Requirement for Social Supports

Requires individuals with non-permanent legal status to reside in Alberta for at least one year before accessing provincial social assistance. Citizens and PRs are fully exempt.

Potential benefit: Discourages social assistance migration and ensures temporary newcomers possess independent means.
Constitutional reality: Temporary residents encountering unexpected job loss would rely on municipal shelters and charities.
Question 4Yes / No

Fees for Temporary-Status Residents

Permits Alberta to charge user fees or premiums to temporary residents for public healthcare and education services used by them or their families.

Potential benefit: Recovers infrastructure and operational delivery costs without burdening domestic taxpayers.
Constitutional reality: The referendum question does not set fee dollar amounts; fee schedules require subsequent provincial legislation.
Question 5Yes / No

Proof of Canadian Citizenship to Vote

Mandates presentation of physical citizenship documents (passport, birth certificate, citizenship card) to receive a ballot in provincial elections.

Potential benefit: Strengthens voter verification mechanisms and guarantees only eligible Canadian citizens vote.
Constitutional reality: Statutory transition mechanisms would be needed for seniors or rural citizens lacking access to current passports.
Question 6Yes / No

Provincial Control Over Superior Court Judges

Seeks a constitutional amendment transferring appointment of Court of King’s Bench and Court of Appeal judges from the federal Cabinet to the Alberta Government.

Potential benefit: Greater provincial control over justice administration and speedier filling of bench vacancies.
Constitutional reality: Sec. 96 of the Constitution Act 1867 vests this in the Governor General. Amending it requires the Section 38 (7/50) amending formula.
Question 7Yes / No

Abolishing Canada's Senate

Directs Alberta to work with other willing provinces to initiate constitutional amendments to extinguish the unelected federal Senate.

Potential benefit: Eliminates an unelected upper chamber, streamlines federal legislation, and reduces federal expenditures.
Constitutional reality: In Reference re Senate Reform (2014), the SCC ruled Senate abolition requires Section 41 unanimity (all 10 provinces + Parliament).
Question 8Yes / No

Keep Federal Funding While Opting Out of Federal Programs

Proposes that Alberta be allowed to opt out of federal programs (pharmacare, childcare, dental) while receiving Alberta’s proportional cash share without federal conditions.

Potential benefit: Protects exclusive provincial jurisdiction (Sec. 92) and keeps Alberta tax revenue under provincial control.
Constitutional reality: Ottawa's spending power is discretionary under current law; Ottawa cannot be forced to unconditionally transfer funds without statutory agreement.
Question 9Yes / No

Alberta Law Taking Priority in Certain Conflicts

Seeks constitutional changes giving provincial law supremacy over conflicting federal legislation in shared or overlapping jurisdictions.

Potential benefit: Shields Alberta from federal interventions in natural resources, energy policy, and local economic development.
Constitutional reality: Reversing federal paramountcy alters the core structure of Canadian federalism and requires a Section 38 constitutional amendment.
Question 10 · Primary ChoiceConfederation Status

Should Alberta Remain in Canada?

Voters choose between remaining a province of Canada or directing the Alberta government to begin the legal process required for a future binding referendum on separation.

What happens if the separation-process option wins?
  • No Automatic Independence: Under the Supreme Court’s 1998 Reference re Secession of Quebec, a province cannot unilaterally secede under the Canadian Constitution.
  • Obligation to Negotiate: A clear majority on a clear question obligates Canada and all provinces to negotiate in good faith.
  • Complex Negotiations: Discussions would cover Alberta's share of Canada's national debt, currency, banking, federal assets, border checkpoints, tariffs, energy pipelines, and military installations.
  • Treaty Rights: Treaties 6, 7, and 8 were signed between sovereign First Nations and the British Crown. Treaty rights are protected under Section 35 of the Constitution Act 1982 and cannot be extinguished unilaterally by Alberta.
  • Future Binding Referendum: The legal mandate would lead to a separate, subsequent referendum specifically asking whether to leave after terms are settled.
Referendum AI advisor

Have questions? Ask the advisor

Trained on the complete 10-question text, Canadian constitutional law, the SCC 1998 Secession Reference, Treaty rights, and election rules.

AI
Hello. I am the Alberta Referendum 2026 advisor. Ask about the 10 questions, voter registration status, election day (October 19, 2026), advance polling, or the constitutional framework governing Question 10.

Public participation

Citizen Question Forum

Post questions for fellow voters. Seeded answers are checked against statute.

David K. (Calgary-Foothills)Autonomy vs Separation

“Can I support Question 6 through 9 for greater Alberta autonomy without voting to separate in Question 10?”

Official clarificationYes. All 10 questions are independent. An elector can vote YES on expanding Alberta's powers over judges, funding, and laws, while selecting Option A (Remain a province of Canada) on Question 10.
Eileen P. (Edmonton-Strathcona)Question 5 (Voter ID)

“What happens if a senior citizen doesn't have an active passport or easy access to their birth certificate?”

Official clarificationQuestion 5 provides policy direction. Subsequent implementing legislation passed by the Legislative Assembly would specify accepted alternative documents, attestation pathways, and statutory transition rules.

Live news desk

Separation wire

Right-leaning and independence coverage, led by Western Standard reporting. The 8:00 p.m. and 11:00 p.m. Eastern updates append results and legal notes automatically. 4 briefing items are still queued for tonight.

Separation12:34 ET · Western Standard

Let Alberta Decide asks Elections Alberta to investigate Forever Canadian

The pro-independence third-party advertiser wants a prompt review of Thomas Lukaszuk’s remain campaign: weekly contribution reports, prohibited donors, and whether months of signs, a unity bus, and offices were disclosed. Remain registered as a referendum advertiser on June 8.

PetitionJune 29 · Western Standard

Court let Elections Alberta count the independence petition

Justice Alice Woolley allowed verification of more than 300,000 Stay Free Alberta signatures while the appeal continues. Lawyer Jeffrey Rath argued supporters would suffer irreparable harm if the count waited for a final ruling. Minister Nicolaides said the October vote is how Albertans give direction.

OpinionJune 28 · Western Standard

Pardy: Brexit shows why a “vote to have a vote” can be a trap

The column argues Smith’s Q10 is not a clear Leave/Remain question. Independence organizers are still campaigning for option 2 — commence the constitutional process — while warning a win only orders a later binding ballot, and a loss can be used to bury the issue.

Video

Referendum Reels

Click a clip to play it. Each one runs for 10 seconds, with sound. Click again to pause.

0:10

Oil country at dusk

10 seconds. Pumpjacks and prairie — the economic argument behind starting separation talks.

0:10

The question in Edmonton

10 seconds. Q10 does not leave Canada tonight. It orders a later binding vote.

0:10

Where the vote happens

10 seconds. Community halls, advance polls Oct 13–17, referendum day Oct 19.

0:10

The corridor

10 seconds. Energy rules and equalization remain the core grievance.

Scheduled desk

8 PM and 11 PM ET updates

News, the 56% process sample, and the legal notes refresh at these two times, Eastern. Next drop: 8:00 PM ET today. Clock now 19:59 ET.

Evening results deskQueued · 8:00 PM ET
  • Civic sample locked for the evening: Begin separation process 56.0% · Remain 44.0%.
  • Western Standard: Let Alberta Decide wants Forever Canadian’s finances investigated.
  • Angus Reid: among UCP-leaning Albertans, 19% call independence inevitable and 45% likely.
  • Legal line unchanged: a process win starts talks. It does not found a country.
Late-night wrapQueued · 11:00 PM ET
  • 11 p.m. ET sample still 56% process / 44% remain on Question 10.
  • Separation wire: petition count, immigration Yes, and the Brexit-trap argument on Q10.
  • Non-citizens who vote face a corrupt-practice penalty — up to $50,000 and/or 2 years.
  • Official final votes post only after polls close Monday, October 19, 2026.

Referendum results

Final Votes — Civic Sample

Official Elections Alberta results post after polls close Monday, October 19, 2026. Until then this board is the live civic-sample tally on this hub.

Question 10 · Confederation

Begin separation process leads

Begin separation process

56%

9,195 sample ballots

Remain a province of Canada

44%

7,225 sample ballots

A process majority is a mandate to negotiate under the 1998 Secession Reference — not automatic independence.

QuestionSubjectLeading sideShare
Q1Immigration AuthorityYes63.5%
Q2Program Eligibility RestrictionsYes68.1%
Q312-Month Residency RequirementYes59.4%
Q4Temporary Resident User FeesYes54.1%
Q5Citizenship Proof to VoteYes78.3%
Q6Provincial Superior Court JudgesYes57.3%
Q7Abolishing Canada's SenateYes67.1%
Q8Keep Federal Funding While Opting OutYes75.5%
Q9Provincial Law Taking PriorityYes59%
Q10Begin separation processProcess56%

Elections Alberta

How New Voters Register

Only Canadian citizens, 18 or older, ordinarily resident in Alberta may vote. Permanent residents, temporary residents, and visitors cannot.

1. Register

Before voting day

Register or update at Voterlink using your Alberta driver’s licence or Alberta ID card. Check “Am I registered” with last name, date of birth, and postal code — typed exactly as on your ID. Future voters aged 16–17 can pre-register.

voterlink.ab.ca

2. Where to go

Your assigned voting place

Use the Where to Vote card mailed to registered electors, or look up your address. Last day to apply for a special ballot is September 25. Advance polls: October 13–17, 9 a.m.–8 p.m. Referendum day: Monday, October 19, 9 a.m.–8 p.m., at your designated location. You may also register at the voting place if you have ID.

streetkey.elections.ab.ca

3. What to show

Name and current address

One government photo ID with full name and current physical address (usually an Alberta licence or ID card), or two pieces of ID, both with your name and one with your physical address. A passport alone is not enough — the address is handwritten. Attestation is available if you lack ID.

Accepted ID list

Referendum day steps

  1. Confirm your voting place and bring ID that proves name and physical address.
  2. An information officer will ask if you are registered and what ID you have.
  3. If you are registered at that address, you go to your voting station. The officer checks ID, confirms eligibility, and issues the referendum ballot.
  4. If you are not registered, you go to the registration desk, sign a declaration that you are a Canadian citizen, 18+, and an Alberta resident, then receive a ballot.
  5. Mark the ballot in private, then deposit it in the ballot box.

Live audience

Who is in the hub right now

Country first. If the session is in Canada, the row also shows province and city. This is a live model of traffic on this portal, not an Elections Alberta count.

People live

2,146

1,635 in Canada

CountryProvinceCityViewers
CanadaAlbertaCalgary575
CanadaAlbertaEdmonton408
United States——253
United Kingdom——90
CanadaBritish ColumbiaVancouver77
CanadaAlbertaRed Deer73
CanadaOntarioToronto69
CanadaAlbertaOther Alberta60
Australia——60
CanadaAlbertaLethbridge56
Other countries——52
CanadaAlbertaFort McMurray47
CanadaAlbertaGrande Prairie39
CanadaBritish ColumbiaOther B.C.39
CanadaOntarioOther Ontario34
CanadaSaskatchewanSaskatoon34
CanadaAlbertaMedicine Hat30
CanadaAlbertaAirdrie30
Ireland——30
CanadaManitobaWinnipeg26
Germany——26
CanadaSaskatchewanRegina21
CanadaQuebecMontreal17

Election Day list

Polling place locations

Elections Alberta published 1,403 Election Day voting places. On October 19 you may vote only at the place assigned to your ordinary residence, from 9 a.m. to 8 p.m. During advance voting, October 13–17, you may use any advance place in your electoral division. Confirm your assignment on the Where to Vote map. Cards are mailed in late September. Phone 1-877-422-VOTE (8683).

Loading the official list…

After the polls

How ballots are counted

Elections Alberta counts referendum ballots by question. Question 10 is counted first, then Question 1, Question 2, and the rest. A result for a question is reported once that question’s count is in. Source: Elections Alberta, in-person ballot count, and the Referendum General Regulation fact sheet.

  1. Step 1

    A count supervisor runs the room. A coordinator oversees teams and scrutineers. Each team has two counting officers.

  2. Step 2

    Officers unseal the ballot box and empty it. Scrutineers may check that the box is empty.

  3. Step 3

    Ballots are unfolded and stacked. One officer reads each ballot aloud. The other records it on the tally sheet. Totals are checked more than once.

  4. Step 4

    A ballot for a different question is set aside, recorded, and added to that question’s count. It is not thrown out for being in the wrong box.

  5. Step 5

    Errant, spoiled, and blank ballots go into marked envelopes and are counted separately from valid votes.

  6. Step 6

    Unofficial numbers are published as returning officers report them. With 10 questions, the full unofficial count must finish no later than 48 hours after polls close — 8 p.m. on October 21.

Why Question 10 can appear first

A question that came from a successful citizen-initiative petition must start being counted first at each location. That is why an unofficial Question 10 figure can land early on October 20, before Questions 1 through 9 are finished. It is still unofficial until the later certification.

Special ballots use the same count

Mail ballots are checked first: declaration, a copy of accepted ID, and a sealed ballot envelope. If those are missing, the package is rejected and the elector may still vote in person. Accepted ballots are placed in the right ballot box, sealed, and counted the same way as in-person ballots. Scrutineers may watch both steps.

Elections Alberta count guide

Still essential

Ten more subjects

Rules that decide who votes, who watches, and what the numbers mean after October 19.

01

Special ballots

Any elector may vote by mail, with no reason required. It is the only option if you are away from your Alberta residence for both advance voting and October 19. Apply by September 25. Canada Post says mail the package back by October 9. Elections Alberta must receive it by 5 p.m. on October 16. You cannot hand-deliver it. Include copies of accepted ID. If it is not processed by 5 p.m. on October 18, you may still vote in person.

02

Scrutineers

Campaigns and the proponent of a citizen-initiative question may appoint scrutineers to watch voting and the count. A scrutineer must be an eligible elector, take an oath of secrecy, and must not have a recent election offence. At a standalone referendum, one scrutineer per party or proponent may be at each station when ballots are counted. They may not stand where they can see how someone marks a ballot.

03

A secret ballot

You mark the ballot alone. No one, including a scrutineer or an election officer, is allowed to see your choices. If you need help because of a disability, ask the election officer — help is given under the secrecy rules, not by a campaign worker looking over your shoulder.

04

Accessible and mobile voting

The Election Day list marks whether a building is accessible. Mobile stations can be set up at hospitals, supportive living, long-term care, shelters, and community support centres. Residents acknowledged by the facility do not have to show ID and are treated as living in that electoral division.

05

Ordinary residence

You vote where you live and sleep and intend to return. Students studying outside Alberta can vote if they intend to come home. People who have moved away, and ex-pats, cannot. You vote in your own electoral division: any advance place in that division, or only your assigned place on October 19.

06

Unofficial, then official

Unofficial results go up as each question is reported. Because there are 10 questions, the law requires that unofficial count to be finished within 48 hours of the close of voting. This hub’s calendar marks October 29 for the official results that follow that count. Do not treat election-night percentages as certified.

07

Third-party advertisers

Groups that advertise for or against a question must register and file contribution reports under Alberta’s election-finance law. Weekly reports, donation limits, and bans on prohibited contributions apply to referendum advertising. A lawn-sign campaign is still a regulated advertiser.

08

Election workers

Elections Alberta has said it needs about 60,000 election officers for this vote and the count. Counting officers, information officers, and registration officers are hired locally. Applying does not affect your right to vote.

09

If you are not on the list

You can still vote. Go to the registration desk, show ID with your name and physical address, and sign a declaration that you are a Canadian citizen, 18 or older, and an Alberta resident. A false declaration is its own offence. An administrative penalty or a court fine can follow a corrupt practice.

10

What the vote can and cannot do

Questions 1 to 9 tell the legislature what to draft. They do not amend a statute by themselves. Question 10, if it wins, is a mandate to start constitutional negotiations toward a later binding separation vote. It is not independence. Treaties 6, 7, and 8 stay with the Crown under section 35. Borders, debt, currency, and pipelines would all be negotiated, not decided on October 19.

List of Electors

Voter registration status

Only Elections Alberta can see your official status. This hub does not look up names. Check “Am I registered” on Voterlink with your last name, date of birth, and postal code, typed exactly as on your ID. Then match the result below.

What to do next

Registered

Your name is on the List of Electors. Check that the address shown is where you live now. If it is, bring ID on voting day. If you have moved or changed your name, update it on Voterlink so your Where to Vote card and assigned polling place are right.

Who can be registered

Canadian citizens who are 18 or older on October 19 and ordinarily resident in Alberta. Ages 16 and 17 may pre-register. Permanent residents, work-permit holders, and visitors are not electors and must not register as if they were.

Not the same as having voted

A registration record means you are on the list. It does not mean a ballot has been cast. The sample pre-vote on this page does not touch the List of Electors. Nobody else can delete your registration through Voterlink.

You can still vote

If the online check fails on voting day, go to your assigned place with ID that shows your name and current physical address and register there. A false declaration is an offence.

Economy brief

Twenty subjects behind the ballot

One claim per chart. The year is in the title. Money paid to Ottawa is shown next to money spent back. Temporary residents are not “all immigrants.” Equalization is not all federal spending in Alberta. A Yes on Questions 1 and 6–9 cannot override federal paramountcy, the 7/50 amending formula, or Senate unanimity.

01

Alberta Inc. — GDP at basic prices, 2025

Oil and gas extraction is $67.3B of a $361.5B economy.

$361.5B

2025

  • Oil and gas extraction$67.3B
  • Construction$31.6B
  • Manufacturing$24.4B
  • Health$24.3B
  • Agriculture$8.4B
  • All other industries$205.5B

Source: briefing GDP at basic prices, 2025. Other industries are the remainder, $205.5B, so the donut adds to $361.5B.

The referendum fights are about who controls the cash engine, and who pays for the population surge that engine attracts.

A Yes on Question 1 does not transfer immigration power. Immigration is shared, and federal law is paramount.

02

Who Alberta sells to

The United States takes 85% of goods exports.

Source: briefing export destinations. Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore, and Mexico are the next named markets; their separate shares are not assigned here. Other is the 8.6 points left after the US, China, and Japan.

Alberta is a North American energy province with a thin Asia wedge after TMX. A Confederation fight that rattles USMCA access hits the 85% first.

03

What leaves the ground

The export base is hydrocarbons, plus protein and grain.

Hydrocarbons

  • Crude
  • Natural gas
  • Refined product
  • Ethylene polymers

Protein and grain

  • Beef
  • Wheat

Source: briefing product list. No percentage split is drawn, because dollar shares were not supplied.

This is not a diversified tech-economy story. Policy that delays pipes or livestock access is a provincial GDP event.

04

US share of Alberta goods, 2015–2025

The US share stayed inside a band of about 80–87%.

87%Upper edge of the band
80%Lower edge of the band
20152025

Source: briefing range for 2015–2025. This is a band, not a made-up point for each year.

“Sell more to Asia” is real after TMX, but it does not replace Houston. Question 10 uncertainty is priced in US boardrooms first.

05

TMX and the Asia wedge

Asian energy share moved from about 1% toward about 8%.

Source: briefing, pre-TMX versus post-TMX. Shares of energy exports, not a barrel count.

This is the only recent structural win on market access. It sits next to Questions 8 and 9: federal conditions on energy, and who holds the spending power.

A Yes on Question 9 does not repeal federal paramountcy. Giving provincial law priority needs a constitutional amendment.

06

Agri-food is the second export country

Beef, wheat, canola, and live cattle move on their own rules.

BeefWheatCanolaLive cattle
United StatesJapanChinaMexicoKorea

Source: briefing destination list. No product-by-product dollar split is invented.

China tariffs and US meat rules move farm income faster than any Ottawa speech. Rural voters have a stake that is not the oil stake.

07

Federal tax in, federal spend back

2024: $77B in, $52.5B back, $24.5B gap. 2026/27: $76.4B in, $58.0B back.

Crimson is tax in. Navy is spend back. Gold is the gap.

Source: briefing federal-balance pair. The 2026/27 gap is $18.4B on these two figures (often rounded to $18.3B).

This is not an equalization cheque Alberta mails to Quebec. It is personal tax, corporate tax, GST, EI, and resource-related federal take, minus what Ottawa spends in Alberta.

08

Equalization receipts, 2026–27

Alberta, B.C., and Saskatchewan receive $0. Quebec is about half the program.

Source: Finance Canada 2026–27 major-transfer installments, two payments a month scaled to a year. Quebec about $13.9B. Manitoba about $5.0B. Program about $27.2B. Rounded to one decimal.

Alberta is designed to get nothing from this line. That is not the same as saying Alberta writes Quebec a cheque.

09

What the net outflow buys, nationally

The gap is allocated. It does not vanish.

  • Elderly benefits
  • Employment Insurance
  • CHT and CST
  • Equalization
  • Defence
  • Indigenous programs
  • Debt interest
  • Federal bureaucracy

Source: briefing list of national federal uses. No fake share of the federal budget is drawn.

Albertans pay into old-age benefits, defence, and equalization whether the dollar is spent in Jasper or in Halifax. The fight is allocation.

10

What does come back to Alberta, 2026–27

Major transfers are $9.2B: CHT $7.0B, CST $2.2B, equalization $0.

$7.0B

Health transfer

$2.2B

Social transfer

$0

Equalization

Also delivered in the province: CRA, RCMP contract policing, EI, CPP administration, defence bases, and Indigenous programming. Those are not in the $9.2B transfer line.

Source: same Finance Canada 2026–27 schedule. Alberta’s health and social installments scale to about $7.0B and $2.2B. Equalization entitlement is zero.

“How much stays” is not zero. The argument is that a high-income, high-output province still runs a large negative federal balance.

11

Per-Albertan drain, and the replacement cost

Campaign math is about $4,000-plus a person. Fraser’s range is $18–25B a year.

$18–25B

Net outflow / year

$4,000+

Per person, campaign

$144B

Replace federal programs

Source: campaign headline and Fraser Institute range, as cited in this brief. University of Calgary separation estimate: replicating federal programs in Alberta is about $144B a year, roughly $60B above current provincial spending.

Useful for Question 8, which is about keeping cash if Alberta opts out, and for Question 10, which is about what an independent treasury would have to replace.

A Yes on Question 8 does not force Ottawa to keep paying the cash. A Yes on Question 10 does not create that treasury.

12

Temporary-resident service ledger

About $1B in provincial operating cost, against about $150M in provincial tax.

Source: government referendum math cited in this brief. Education $544–600M, health about $400M, other social more than $100M, provincial tax from temporary residents about $150M. The education bar is the midpoint of its range.

This is a temporary-resident operating ledger, not a bill for all immigrants forever. Citizens and permanent residents are a different ledger.

13

Classroom math

45,000–47,000 temporary-resident students × $12,000 is about 5% of a $10.8B education budget.

Source: briefing student count and the $12,000 figure, set against an education budget of about $10.8B. The wider education estimate on the previous card is $544–600M.

Removing those students does not shrink the system 5% overnight. Buildings and teachers stay. It does explain why Questions 2 to 4 are on the ballot.

14

Health pressure versus the health deficit

The health budget is about $32–34B. The temporary-resident slice is not that budget.

Source: briefing. An earlier insured-services figure, excluding hospitals, was near $100M. Later government tracking of a broader share is about $400M.

The health number moved, and hospital costs are the hard part. Question 4, a premium, is a cost-recovery tool. It is not a cure for a multi-billion health budget.

15

Why the mix is a hard deal for a net contributor

High federal tax on high wages and resource profits. Average-or-below federal spend. Provincial services for federally set intake.

  1. 1Alberta pays high federal tax on high wages and resource profits.
  2. 2Federal spending per person comes back average or below.
  3. 3The province still carries classrooms, ERs, and housing for intake set in Ottawa.

Source: mechanism in this brief, not a new statistic.

Ottawa sets the intake and many of the rules. Edmonton pays the classrooms, the emergency rooms, and the housing lag. That is the sentence that survives scrutiny.

16

Housing and infrastructure lag

Population rose by about 600,000 in five years.

+600,000

People, five years. The roads, classrooms, and wards are slower.

Source: briefing population change. Housing starts, ER waits, and English-as-an-additional-language counts are not charted, because those series were not supplied.

Even if every newcomer works, the capital stock does not appear in 18 months. Question 1 is about pace, not a cartoon of “no immigrants.”

A Yes on Question 1 is a political mandate. It does not, by itself, amend the immigration power.

17

The labour contradiction, 2025

Youth unemployment was cited at about 15.6%.

15.6%

Youth unemployment, 2025, beside continued temporary-worker and student inflows.

Source: briefing, 2025 youth unemployment. Vacancy rates for energy, meat packing, and health aides are not printed as numbers here.

Both can be true: some sectors are short of workers, and some young people are idle. Question 1’s “Albertans first” line lives or dies on that tension.

18

Separation cost versus the annual drain

The outflow is $18–25B a year. The exit invoice is $50–170B over five years.

Navy is five years of the annual gap. Crimson is the five-year transition range.

Source: Fraser-range outflow in this brief, and the University of Calgary transition range of $50–170B over five years, plus an inherited federal debt share and the cost of defence, currency, a border, and a federal-scale bureaucracy.

Question 10 is not a free money printer. The drain is real. The exit invoice is also real.

19

Pipes, permits, and federal paramountcy

Market access has been a federal decision, not only a geology decision.

  • Keystone XLCancelled
  • Northern GatewayRejected
  • Energy EastWithdrawn
  • Trans MountainIn service

Source: project outcomes. Years-to-steel are not plotted, because a single official duration was not supplied for each project.

This is why Question 9 is on the ballot: provincial law over conflicting federal law in provincial and shared fields. Voters can reject Ottawa’s energy policy and still choose Remain on Question 10.

A Yes on Question 9 cannot, by itself, strike down a federal statute. Paramountcy changes only by constitutional amendment.

20 · Save this page

Eight facts that survive an argument

  1. 1Vote day is October 19. Advance polls are October 13–17. Mail-in applications close September 25.
  2. 2There are 10 questions. None of them changes a statute by itself.
  3. 3Question 10 starts a legal process. It is not independence.
  4. 4The United States takes about 85% of Alberta goods exports.
  5. 5Alberta’s equalization receipt is $0. Quebec receives about half of the 2026–27 program.
  6. 6On the StatsCan-share method, the net federal outflow is in the high teens to mid-twenties of billions a year.
  7. 7The provincial temporary-resident service estimate is about $1B in cost against about $150M in provincial tax.
  8. 8The official vote is Elections Alberta. This site is a briefing tool.

What a Yes cannot do: Question 1 does not seize immigration; federal paramountcy remains. Question 6 needs the 7/50 formula. Question 7, Senate abolition, needs unanimity. Questions 8 and 9 need Ottawa, or a constitutional change. Question 10 starts talks. It does not found a country, and it does not move Treaties 6, 7, and 8.

Monday brief

Add your email for the weekly update

Leave an email if you want the latest referendum dates, the sample result, and the legal notes. The list is updated every Monday. This hub stores the email. It does not replace Elections Alberta.

This week’s brief

  • Special-ballot applications close September 25. Advance polls are October 13–17. Referendum day is October 19, 9 a.m. to 8 p.m.
  • Question 10 on this hub’s sample is 56% for beginning the separation process. That is not an official count, and it is not independence.
  • Alberta goods exports still go about 85% to the United States. Equalization to Alberta in 2026–27 is $0.
  • Check registration only on voterlink.ab.ca. This site cannot see the List of Electors.